Commodities · Above/below · Outcome.xyz
GOLD above 4,190.9 at Oct 11, 21:00 UTC?
LiveObservation time Oct 11, 21:00 UTC · 23h 7m left
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Yes chance
57.2%
24h change
+6.5 pts
Bid / Ask
49.5¢ / 65¢
Spread 15.5¢
Last trade
50¢
Oct 10, 21:41 UTC
24h volume
$66.00
Open interest
$56.00
Wide spread (15.5¢): treat the mid price as a rough guide.
01 /
Price history
- Yes57.2%
- No42.8%
The line shows traded prices; periods without trades keep the last price.
02 /
Reference price
xyz:GOLD perp
4,191.20 · 0.0% from strike
Reference perp price, not necessarily the settlement price.
03 /
Outcomes
04 /
Rules & settlement
- Deployed by
- Outcome.xyz
- Settlement source
- 60s TWAP · xyz:GOLD-USDC perp mark
- Observation time
- Oct 11, 21:00 UTC
- Trading fee
- 2× base rate · 0.14% taker at base tier
Rules (original text)
The market resolves to Yes if the xyz:GOLD price is above 4190.9 at 20261011-2100, and otherwise resolves to No. Settlement is according to the 60-second TWAP of xyz:GOLD-USDC perp mark price ending at 20261011-2100. If xyz:GOLD is delisted before this market settles, settlement is instead according to the xyz:GOLD settlement price at delisting.
05 /
Liquidity · Yes
Bids
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 49.454¢ | 56 | $27.69 |
| 35¢ | 285 | $127.44 |
| 32.515¢ | 33 | $138.17 |
| 0.212¢ | 11,793 | $163.18 |
| 0.21¢ | 477 | $164.18 |
Asks
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 65¢ | 10 | $6.50 |
| 66¢ | 294 | $200.54 |
| 99.157¢ | 2,966 | $3.1K |
| 99.667¢ | 602 | $3.7K |
| 99.783¢ | 11,631 | $15.3K |
Depth within ±5¢ · bids $0.00 · asks $0.00
Recent trades
| Time (UTC) | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21:41:00 | Sell | 50¢ | 10 |
| 21:01:06 | Buy | 50.688¢ | 56 |
06 /
Related markets
| Outcome | Price | Volume | Resolution |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOLD above 3,800 at Oct 30, 20:00 UTC? | 50.3% | $0.00 | 19d 22h |
| GOLD above 4,200 at Oct 12, 13:35 UTC? | 50% | $0.00 | 1d 15h |
| GOLD above 4,600 at Oct 30, 20:00 UTC? | 49.5% | $0.00 | 19d 22h |
| MU above 1,036.3 at Oct 11, 20:00 UTC? | 57% | $579.00 | 22h 7m |
| BTC above 83,030 at Oct 10, 22:00 UTC? | 58.2% | $141.00 | 7m |
| SP500 above 7,807.3 at Oct 11, 20:00 UTC? | 61.5% | $131.00 | 22h 7m |
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