Stocks · Above/below · Outcome.xyz
SPCX above 163.59 at Oct 11, 20:00 UTC?
LiveObservation time Oct 11, 20:00 UTC · 22h 6m left
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Yes chance
56.5%
24h change
+6.6 pts
Bid / Ask
49¢ / 64¢
Spread 15¢
Last trade
49.9¢
Oct 10, 20:02 UTC
24h volume
$55.00
Open interest
$55.00
Wide spread (15¢): treat the mid price as a rough guide.
01 /
Price history
- Yes56.5%
- No43.5%
The line shows traded prices; periods without trades keep the last price.
02 /
Reference price
xyz:SPCX perp
163.60 · 0.0% from strike
Reference perp price, not necessarily the settlement price.
03 /
Outcomes
04 /
Rules & settlement
- Deployed by
- Outcome.xyz
- Settlement source
- 60s TWAP · xyz:SPCX-USDC perp mark
- Observation time
- Oct 11, 20:00 UTC
- Trading fee
- 2× base rate · 0.14% taker at base tier
Rules (original text)
The market resolves to Yes if the xyz:SPCX price is above 163.59 at 20261011-2000, and otherwise resolves to No. Settlement is according to the 60-second TWAP of xyz:SPCX-USDC perp mark price ending at 20261011-2000. If xyz:SPCX is delisted before this market settles, settlement is instead according to the xyz:SPCX settlement price at delisting.
05 /
Liquidity · Yes
Bids
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 49.028¢ | 55 | $26.97 |
| 39¢ | 12 | $31.65 |
| 38.676¢ | 646 | $281.49 |
| 36.756¢ | 30 | $292.52 |
| 34¢ | 294 | $392.48 |
Asks
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 63.999¢ | 88 | $56.32 |
| 64¢ | 13 | $64.64 |
| 65¢ | 285 | $249.89 |
| 65.028¢ | 714 | $714.19 |
| 66.057¢ | 736 | $1.2K |
Depth within ±5¢ · bids $0.00 · asks $0.00
Recent trades
| Time (UTC) | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:02:44 | Buy | 49.944¢ | 55 |
06 /
Related markets
| Outcome | Price | Volume | Resolution |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPCX above 135 at Oct 30, 20:00 UTC? | 51.6% | $655.00 | 19d 22h |
| SPCX above 163 at Oct 12, 13:35 UTC? | 50% | $0.00 | 1d 15h |
| SPCX above 165 at Oct 30, 20:00 UTC? | 50% | $0.00 | 19d 22h |
| MU above 1,036.3 at Oct 11, 20:00 UTC? | 57% | $579.00 | 22h 6m |
| BTC above 83,030 at Oct 10, 22:00 UTC? | 50.2% | $141.00 | 6m |
| SP500 above 7,807.3 at Oct 11, 20:00 UTC? | 61.5% | $131.00 | 22h 6m |
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