加密资产 · 触及 · Outcome.xyz
BTC touches 92,500 by Nov 1, 00:00 UTC
进行中观察窗口截止 Nov 1, 00:00 UTC · 剩余 21d 3h
BTC 的全部市场 →Hyperliquid 的预测市场交易在部分司法辖区不可用。
Yes 概率
19.5%
24h 变化
+1.1 个百分点
买价 / 卖价
19.5¢ / 19.5¢
价差 0¢
最近成交
19.5¢
Oct 10, 18:56 UTC
24h 成交量
$9.6K
未平仓量
$14.2K
01 /
价格走势
- Yes19.5%
- No80.5%
折线为成交价；无成交的时段沿用上一笔价格。
02 /
参考价格
BTC 永续
83,010 · 距阈值 -10.3%
参考永续价格，不一定是结算价。
03 /
选项
04 /
规则与结算
- 部署方
- Outcome.xyz
- 结算来源
- 3s TWAP · BTC-USDC perp mark
- 观察窗口截止
- Nov 1, 00:00 UTC
- 一旦触及目标价即可提前结算。
- 交易费率
- 基础费率的 2 倍 · 基础档 taker 0.14%
规则原文（英文）
The market resolves to Yes if the BTC price touches 92500 at or before 20261101-0000, and otherwise resolves to No. The price counts as touched once the 3-second TWAP of BTC-USDC perp mark price equals or crosses 92500 at any time after this market is deployed and at or before 20261101-0000; the market can settle as soon as a touch occurs. If BTC is delisted before this market settles, the BTC settlement price at delisting counts as the final price for the touch determination, and the market can settle at delisting if the price has not touched 92500 by then.
05 /
流动性 · Yes
买单
| 价格 | 数量 | 累计 |
|---|---|---|
| 19.501¢ | 28 | $5.46 |
| 19.5¢ | 32 | $11.70 |
| 19.439¢ | 71 | $25.50 |
| 19.438¢ | 595 | $141.16 |
| 19.428¢ | 256 | $190.89 |
卖单
| 价格 | 数量 | 累计 |
|---|---|---|
| 19.518¢ | 38 | $7.42 |
| 19.519¢ | 13 | $9.95 |
| 19.52¢ | 181 | $45.29 |
| 19.524¢ | 71 | $59.15 |
| 19.57¢ | 105 | $79.70 |
±5¢ 内深度 · 买单 ≥ $890.21 · 卖单 $268.77
每侧只能取到最优 20 档，标 ≥ 的数值为下限。
最近成交
| 时间（UTC） | 方向 | 价格 | 数量 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:56:49 | 买入 | 19.536¢ | 13 |
| 18:56:49 | 卖出 | 19.53¢ | 13 |
| 18:45:30 | 卖出 | 19.626¢ | 18 |
| 18:45:27 | 卖出 | 19.626¢ | 18 |
| 18:45:27 | 卖出 | 19.626¢ | 23 |
| 18:40:11 | 卖出 | 19.65¢ | 41 |
| 18:40:01 | 卖出 | 19.804¢ | 40 |
| 18:39:30 | 买入 | 19.807¢ | 41 |
| 18:39:30 | 买入 | 19.81¢ | 40 |
| 18:39:30 | 卖出 | 19.803¢ | 81 |
06 /
相关市场
| 预测 | 价格 | 成交量 | 结算 |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC touches 75,000 by Nov 1, 00:00 UTC | 22.1% | $11.1K | 21d 3h |
| BTC touches 77,500 by Nov 1, 00:00 UTC | 36.9% | $14.2K | 21d 3h |
| BTC above 78,387 at Oct 16, 08:00 UTC? | 50% | $0.00 | 5d 11h |
| BTC touches 80,000 by Nov 1, 00:00 UTC | 61.6% | $14.1K | 21d 3h |
| BTC above 80,120 at Oct 16, 08:00 UTC? | 50% | $0.00 | 5d 11h |
| BTC above 81,394 at Oct 11, 08:00 UTC? | 96% | $0.00 | 11h 36m |
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