2026 Ballon d'Or winner
Price history
- Harry Kane64¢
- Other4.9¢
- Lamine Yamal26.8¢
- Ousmane Dembele2.5¢
Outcomes
| Option | Price | 24h | Volume | OI | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harry KaneSelected | 64¢ | -0.8¢ | $23.8K | $6.1K | Trade↗ |
Other | 4.9¢ | +4.9¢ | $10.00 | $309.00 | Trade↗ |
Lamine Yamal | 26.8¢ | -0.5¢ | $12.2K | $7.8K | Trade↗ |
Kylian Mbappe | 2.3¢ | +0.3¢ | $267.00 | $5.8K | Trade↗ |
Jude Bellingham | 0.8¢ | +0.7¢ | $10.00 | $309.00 | Trade↗ |
Ousmane Dembele | 2.5¢ | +2.4¢ | $10.00 | $317.00 | Trade↗ |
Erling Haaland | 0.8¢ | +0.7¢ | $10.00 | $309.00 | Trade↗ |
Lionel Messi | 1.6¢ | -0.5¢ | $81.00 | $795.00 | Trade↗ |
Rules & settlement
- Deployed by
- Outcome.xyz
- Key time
- Nov 5, 23:59 UTC
- Trading fee
- 2× base rate · 0.14% taker at base tier
This Soccer market covers the 2026 Ballon d'Or (the "Award"). Among editions of one award that France Football confers or administers with a winner due by 20261105-2359, 2026 identifies one by France Football's labeling or, failing that, by the year its winner is due; otherwise the Award Result is unestablished. It has one named outcome per listed candidate plus one called Other, which may be registered at any time. Exactly one outcome resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. An entry is one nominee, finalist, or winner of the Award as official channels record it, including a group recorded as one, with every work and person named on it as its nominee or recipient, even jointly, not as a member or representative of a group. A candidate identifies an entry if its Subject unambiguously identifies a work, group, or named person on that entry and no other entry of the Award. Official channels are the publications, events, and broadcasts of France Football and the Award's conferring body and administrator. The trigger is the earliest verifiable announcement on an official channel of the result: a winner, winners, or that the Award is withheld or not conferred; an announcement is not a trigger if, within one hour after it and before 20261105-2359, it is withdrawn or removed or an official channel contradicts it. Fixing is the earlier of one hour after the trigger and 20261105-2359, or 20261105-2359 without a trigger. The Award Result is the winner official channels have named as of fixing; a verifiably later statement supersedes earlier ones on the same channel or made at an event or broadcast, an explicit correction by fixing prevails across channels, other conflicts leave it unestablished, and omission is not a conflict. A candidate registered after the earliest official-channel announcement of a winner of the Award, whether or not it is a trigger, or that identifies no entry at fixing, resolves to No. A candidate finally resolves to No once official channels publish final nominees or finalists none of which it identifies or show it identifies the same entry as an earlier registered candidate. Of the remaining candidates, the earliest registered identifying the one winning entry the Award Result names resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. Other resolves to Yes if no candidate resolves to Yes, including if the Award Result is unestablished at fixing, names no winner, or names more than one winning entry, such as a tie. Only evidence public by 24 hours after fixing establishes the trigger and the Award Result at fixing; timestamps must prove when contents were public; a Yes resolution occurs only after that cutoff. This market is not sponsored by, endorsed by, or affiliated with any entity referenced. Names and trademarks are descriptive only.
This outcome resolves to Yes if, under the parent question's rules, it is the earliest registered candidate not otherwise resolved to No that identifies the one winning entry of the Award, and otherwise resolves to No. Its Subject is Harry Kane (Bayern Munich, England). A Subject that identifies a work, group, or named person on more than one entry, or that Harry Kane does not name in full or in short form, identifies no entry. Resolution follows the parent question's timing and source rules. Harry Kane is a display label.
This outcome resolves to Yes if the parent question's Other conditions apply, and otherwise resolves to No.
This outcome resolves to Yes if, under the parent question's rules, it is the earliest registered candidate not otherwise resolved to No that identifies the one winning entry of the Award, and otherwise resolves to No. Its Subject is Lamine Yamal (FC Barcelona, Spain). A Subject that identifies a work, group, or named person on more than one entry, or that Lamine Yamal does not name in full or in short form, identifies no entry. Resolution follows the parent question's timing and source rules. Lamine Yamal is a display label.
This outcome resolves to Yes if, under the parent question's rules, it is the earliest registered candidate not otherwise resolved to No that identifies the one winning entry of the Award, and otherwise resolves to No. Its Subject is Kylian Mbappe (Real Madrid, France). A Subject that identifies a work, group, or named person on more than one entry, or that Kylian Mbappe does not name in full or in short form, identifies no entry. Resolution follows the parent question's timing and source rules. Kylian Mbappe is a display label.
This outcome resolves to Yes if, under the parent question's rules, it is the earliest registered candidate not otherwise resolved to No that identifies the one winning entry of the Award, and otherwise resolves to No. Its Subject is Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid, England). A Subject that identifies a work, group, or named person on more than one entry, or that Jude Bellingham does not name in full or in short form, identifies no entry. Resolution follows the parent question's timing and source rules. Jude Bellingham is a display label.
This outcome resolves to Yes if, under the parent question's rules, it is the earliest registered candidate not otherwise resolved to No that identifies the one winning entry of the Award, and otherwise resolves to No. Its Subject is Ousmane Dembele (Paris Saint-Germain, France). A Subject that identifies a work, group, or named person on more than one entry, or that Ousmane Dembele does not name in full or in short form, identifies no entry. Resolution follows the parent question's timing and source rules. Ousmane Dembele is a display label.
This outcome resolves to Yes if, under the parent question's rules, it is the earliest registered candidate not otherwise resolved to No that identifies the one winning entry of the Award, and otherwise resolves to No. Its Subject is Erling Haaland (Manchester City, Norway). A Subject that identifies a work, group, or named person on more than one entry, or that Erling Haaland does not name in full or in short form, identifies no entry. Resolution follows the parent question's timing and source rules. Erling Haaland is a display label.
This outcome resolves to Yes if, under the parent question's rules, it is the earliest registered candidate not otherwise resolved to No that identifies the one winning entry of the Award, and otherwise resolves to No. Its Subject is Lionel Messi (Inter Miami, Argentina). A Subject that identifies a work, group, or named person on more than one entry, or that Lionel Messi does not name in full or in short form, identifies no entry. Resolution follows the parent question's timing and source rules. Lionel Messi is a display label.
Liquidity · Harry Kane
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 63.932¢ | 70 | $44.75 |
| 63.904¢ | 67 | $87.57 |
| 63.903¢ | 67 | $130.38 |
| 63.87¢ | 81 | $182.12 |
| 63.798¢ | 930 | $775.44 |
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 64.009¢ | 93 | $59.53 |
| 64.01¢ | 134 | $145.30 |
| 64.011¢ | 1,000 | $785.41 |
| 64.069¢ | 62 | $825.13 |
| 64.07¢ | 145 | $918.04 |
Depth within ±5¢ · bids $1.2K · asks $950.26
| Time (UTC) | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:50:15 | Sell | 63.904¢ | 125 |
| 20:48:49 | Buy | 64.009¢ | 10 |
| 20:48:19 | Buy | 64.009¢ | 20 |
| 20:48:19 | Buy | 64.009¢ | 120 |
| 20:43:52 | Buy | 64.009¢ | 100 |
| 20:43:50 | Sell | 63.799¢ | 22 |
| 20:43:50 | Sell | 63.84¢ | 42 |
| 20:43:11 | Sell | 65¢ | 64 |
| 20:43:11 | Sell | 65¢ | 76 |
| 20:13:19 | Sell | 65.55¢ | 59 |
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